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Behavioural Biases and Individual Investors’ Stock Market Investment Decisions: Evidence from Nepal

Ajay Yadav*
MBS-F Student, Lumbini Banijya Campus, Butwal, Nepal

*Corresponding author

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Abstract
This study explores how behavioral biases affect individual investors' investment decisions in the stock market in Nepal, particularly the overconfidence, representativeness, availability, anchoring and herding biases. The research stems from theories in behavioral finance like Prospect Theory and Heuristics and Biases program, which has identified a lack of knowledge about investor psychology in the developing stock market of Nepal, NEPSE, where conventional rational assumptions are not always applicable. The type of research design used was descriptive and causal-comparative research design. A total of 385 individual investors from the convenience sample of Rupandehi of Nepal were contacted to collect the primary data of this study through a structured questionnaire. Cronbach's alpha (> 0.68 for all constructs) was used to measure reliability. Descriptive statistics, Pearson correlation and multiple regression was used in SPSS for data analysis. The findings show statistically significant positive correlations between all the behavioural biases and investment decisions (r = 0.61 – 0.69; p< 0.01). The five biases accounted for 62% of the variation in investment decisions (R = 0.79, R 2 = 0.62, F = 94.37, p < 0.001) in multiple regression analysis. The most important predictor was availability bias (β = 0.301); the others were the anchoring effect (β = 0.254), overconfidence (β = 0.241), representativeness (β = 0.226), and herding (β = 0.219). All hypotheses were accepted. The results support the notion that there are psychological and cognitive biases that are a major factor affecting the investment decisions of the Nepalese investors apart from rational analysis. The study makes several important contributions to the behavioral finance literature in developing markets and it has implications for investor education, for financial market regulation by SEBON and NEPSE, for brokerage services and for improving financial market development by strengthening financial literacy and information transparency. Keywords: Behavioural finance, overconfidence, representativeness, availability bias, anchoring, herding, investment decision.